Using Chicago as a case study for the 2022–2024 U.S. migrant influx, this paper tests whether large exogenous shocks to local labor supply significantly depress wages or employment outcomes for existing residents. With empirical methods including DiD and triple-DiD regressions, the team finds no large adverse effects and rules out significant declines, suggesting instead that migrant-driven economic activity may mitigate traditional concerns about labor displacement.
Research Team: Arnav Harve (Project Lead), Allison Yu, Gerard Blake, Kriti Krishnan, Marco Parisse, Milo Simchen, Rowan Felton, Vedesh Kodnani and Vedika Baradwaj
Date: May 2025